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After the Deluge

At year end the consensus estimate was approaching $105. A more likely expectation is $90 to $95 for 2008. When fourth-quarter results come out, we'll look to see whether companies have used what wiggle room they have to keep the '07 numbers as low as possible. It may be a good tactic to push up reserves or defer good news because '08 comparisons will matter more than fourth-quarter results.

Felix, how do things look to you?

Zulauf: The world economy is slowing, and the U.S. has the biggest problem. You have underestimated in the U.S. how much asset-price changes impact gross domestic product. It is underestimated on the upside as well as the downside. Home values probably are five to six times the size of GDP, and if home prices rise by 10%, that creates new assets and borrowing power equal to 50% of GDP.


July 2006

Going for a full month, we did not have tons of money, so Mom for pack the basics of kitchen goods, her spices, dry and canned goods, and few extra things that she knew the cottage did not have. Dad did not sleep well the night before so most the time he would pack the car the evening before. Mom would try to let Dad get a couple of hours of sleep before the long drive from Ohio to the Cape.

We would normally leave late and drive through the night and get to the Cape around noonish. We tried to stop once and that was a disaster as no one sleep and it was a waste of money. Even into my years of driving, we have done the same. Only now that it is just my wife and I we do try to find a place to stop over night to and from.

Personally I would rather get there and have more time for the Cape.


WAITING FOR GANDHI

His democracy is merely a collection of empty slogans for domestic and international consumption.

“In Bush’s eyes, the problem is resistance, not occupation, so the only way for the Palestinians to save themselves from Sharon’s massacres is to elect his supporters in the name of ‘democracy.’”

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